Here’s a betting breakdown for three games on the NFL’s Week 9 Sunday card: Eagles at Giants, Panthers at Rams, and Broncos at Raiders.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-2.5, 43)
This game shapes up as a big one in the competitive-again NFC East, with both teams sitting at 4-3 and trying to gain ground on the Cowboys.
It feels like a difficult spot for the Eagles (4-3 ATS), after blowing a 10-point fourth quarter lead in Dallas last week and succumbing in overtime. What makes a potential wager on Philly even more unsettling is that they are 1-3 on the road this season, the only win coming at Chicago in Week 2. But they have played well in defeat on the road, losing by one in Detroit, seven in Washington and six last week. The good news for Eagles backers Sunday is that Philly has beaten the Giants in four straight meetings, five of the last six and seven of nine.
The Giants (3-3-1 ATS) are coming off a bye, which seems to set them up well here. That notion is not resonating with the betting market, though, as early action pushed this line down from the opener of Giants -3. It’s only a half-point, but when an NFL point spread moves off ‘3’, it’s significant.
Carolina Panthers (-3, 44.5) at Los Angeles Rams
The Panthers got off the schneid with an impressive win at home over the Cardinals last week but have to make the long trek west as they try to keep the momentum going. We don’t envision this line changing. When 3.5s have flashed on betting boards, they’ve been snapped up by dog bettors, and chalk players have laid 2s and 2.5s when those opportunities have presented themselves.
It certainly seems like a manageable number for the Panthers to cover, if you’re still buying them despite a 2-5 start. We’re not sure they’re as bad as their record suggests.
The Rams (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) will be trying to snap a three-game losing streak that followed a three-game streak to the good. They have the benefit of the bye after playing the Giants in London two weeks ago. This is just their third true home game in their new (old) L.A. digs. In the previous two, they were buried by Buffalo, 30-19, and beat Seattle in a 9-3 snoozer.
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (-1.5, 43.5)
The market believes in the Raiders, making them the favorites over the defending Super Bowl champs. The sentiment is understandable, as last week’s overtime win at Tampa Bay ran Oakland’s record to a nifty 6-2 (5-3 ATS).
Denver sports the identical 6-2 record (6-2 ATS) after avenging one of their losses by beating the Chargers last week. Their other loss was against the resurgent Falcons, and Trevor Siemian was sidelined for that game.
For what it’s worth, the most recent meeting between these teams, last December 13, was the Raiders’ first win over the Broncos in nine tries.
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