Here’s a betting breakdown for three important games on the NFL’s Week 7 Sunday slate: Vikings at Eagles, Patriots at Steelers, and Seahawks at Cardinals.
Minnesota Vikings (-3, 40) at Philadelphia Eagles, 1 p.m. ET
This NFC clash marks Sam Bradford’s return to Philadelphia after being traded to the Vikings just ahead of the season. Things are going well for Bradford in Minnesota so far, as he’s helped his team to a 5-0 record. The Vikes are the NFL’s only remaining undefeated team, and they are also the only club to have covered the spread in every game. Their perfect ATS record follows a 13-3 performance at the bet window last season. If you’ve been betting Minnesota blindly over the last two seasons, you’ve been fattening your bankroll.
But runs like this don’t tend to last when it comes to sports wagering. That’s because greater expectations are placed upon a team by the betting market, evidenced by the Vikes being asked to lay a field goal in Philly on Sunday.
The Eagles, meanwhile, have dropped two straight since a 3-0 start, at Detroit and at Washington. Sunday, they are back at Lincoln Financial Field, where they are 2-0 on the year, including a 34-3 thrashing of the Steelers.
New England Patriots (-7, 47.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m. ET
The major storyline here, of course, is Ben Roethlisberger being sidelined for the Steelers and replaced by Landry Jones. Jones, in his second year in the NFL, has too little history for a worthwhile analysis, but let’s just say Bill Belichick usually makes things tough on young quarterbacks.
When handicapping this game, the key question is ‘what is the point-spread value difference between Roethlisberger and Jones?’ One sports book in Las Vegas was dealing this game at pick ‘em in its advanced lines. Taking the touchdown is awfully tempting, but gambling on Jones to succeed against the Pats is daunting.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-1.5, 43), 8:25 p.m. ET
Seattle is an almost under-the-radar 4-1 this season, which feels weird to type, but if you’ve been betting the Seahawks, you’ve been less than impressed, what with a 2-3 record ATS. While something just doesn’t seem right about them, they’ve been notoriously slow starters over the past few seasons, and a primetime game against this division rival may be the motivation they need. We should get Seattle’s best effort in this spot.
The Cardinals have righted the ship with two straight wins after a 1-3 start to the season, but they’ll have to do more than beat the 49ers and Jets to convince a lot of bettors.
Seattle has been the right side of the bet in most recent meetings with Arizona. The Seahawks have won and covered the spread in five of the last seven games between these teams.
Early betting on this game has seen good two-way action, as the line has bounced between a pick ‘em and Arizona -2.
Get our picks for Sunday’s NFL slate right here. If we’re not picking winners, get your money back no questions asked.