Let’s take a handicapper’s look inside three Sunday games on the NFL’s Week 5 betting card – Eagles at Lions, Falcons at Broncos and Giants at Packers.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 46) at Detroit Lions, 1 p.m. ET
The Eagles come into Detroit a perfect 3-0 and fresh off a bye week, and bettors will have to pay a premium for it. Wins over the Browns and Bears – Philly’s first two opponents – won’t impress anyone, but when you boat race the Steelers 34-3, people are going to start paying attention.
The Lions have dropped three straight after a season-opening win over the Colts – and they barely held on for that one. They couldn’t even handle the Titans at home or the Bears on the road as favorites in both of those games.
Sunday’s game opened pick ‘em, but there’s been enough money on Philly to push them past the key number of ‘3’. That’s a big ask for the Eagles on the road, even against the woeful Lions.
For what it’s worth, these teams played last November, also in Detroit, and the Lions rolled 45-14 as 3-point chalk. With coach Doug Pederson and QB Carson Wentz, there’s a new story being told in Philly this season.
Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos (-4.5, 46), 4:05 p.m. ET
The line moving from an opener of Denver -6.5 indicates there’s been some wiseguy money on the Falcons, which is a bit surprising since the Broncos continue to roll.
Atlanta has some momentum of its own, reeling off three straight wins. We may have seen this movie before, though, and if so, it doesn’t end particularly well for the Falcons. They started 5-0 last season before falling apart and finishing 8-8.
Quarterback Trevor Siemian is a questionable for Denver on Sunday because of an injury to his non-throwing left shoulder. If he can’t go, there’s not a huge drop off from him to Paxton Lynch, who looked just fine in relief of Siemian last week in Tampa Bay.
New York Giants at Green Bay Packers (-7, 48), 8:25 p.m. ET
The NFL schedule makers didn’t do New York any favors by putting them in this spot. The Giants played at Minnesota on Monday night, which means they have to travel back to the Midwest on short rest to play a team coming off a bye.
The game against the Vikings was the Giants’ second straight defeat, and they’ve been downright awful as road underdogs, going 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 opportunities in the role.
The Packers are 2-1 on the season, both SU and ATS, and are looking for their second straight home win and cover. They got the cash as 6-point favorites in a 34-27 win over Detroit in a game that was not as close as the score suggests. But they’ve been a dicey proposition when laying point at home. It’s not 2014 anymore, and it seems that a lot of bettors don’t realize that. Green Bay has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six as home chalk.
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